Key to Karabakh conflict resolution in Moscow

Polish analyst Adam Baltzer thinks that the West has lost its chance to influence developments in the Caucasus region. Baltzer thinks that it is obvious that Armenia is completely under Russian influence and therefore any steps in the direction of resolving the Karabakh conflict depend on Russia. If Moscow considers new relations between Turkey and Armenia beneficial for itself it will allow such developments, if not this option will be dead.

Baltzer proposes that there is a possibility that Moscow will oppose Turkish and Armenian border opening because Ankara will become Yerevan's chief economic outlet if this happens. He thinks that Moscow could increase its presence in Azerbaijan and use positive Armenia-Turkish relations to establish new relations with Ankara itself.