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Polish analyst on Turkey, Armenia and Azerbaijan

By Messenger Staff
Wednesday, September 1
An analyst from the Warsaw International Relations Institute, Tomas Sikorsky thinks that Armenia’s failure to resolve its relations with Turkey might force Yerevan to be more flexible and make concessions over Karabakh. The Polish analyst suggests that Armenia’s attempts to normalise relations with Turkey are targeted at isolating Azerbaijan. Turkey closed its borders with Armenia and halted diplomatic relations following Armenia's occupation of Azeri territories in 1993. Therefore normalising relations with Turkey is in Armenia's best interests, but so far all efforts have failed. Sikorsky observes that there is evidence of discourse with Turkey concerning the Karabakh problem and that any resolution of the issue will be complicated. Nothing positive can occur without goodwill and concessions from both sides. Sikorsky suggests that it is beneficial for Turkey to resolve the conflict in Karabakh. Turkey primarily wants a policy whereby there are no problems with its neighbours as it would like peace and security on its borders. On the other hand, and maybe this is the most important factor, Armenia is the ideal transit country between Azerbaijan and Turkey. A third argument is that if Turkey could negotiate the reconciliation of Yerevan and Baku, it would be huge success which would raise Turkey's standing in the region and highlight the country's importance.